Botafogo
Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 2, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Jose Americo de Almeida Filho
Flamengo

Botafogo-PB
0 - 1
Flamengo

Jesus (74' pen., 74' pen.), Artur (76', 76'), Seco (90', 90')
Gregore (67'), Gregore (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Joshua Lana de Andrade (85', 85')
Rodrigues de Souza (70'), Rodrigues de Souza (70')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Botafogo-PB and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo-PB

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Botafogo-PB 4-0 Concordia Atletico Clube
Wednesday, March 12 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Flamengo

All competitions
Last Game: Flamengo 4-0 Corinthians
Sunday, April 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Botafogo-PB had a probability of 12.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.77%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Botafogo-PB win it was 1-0 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result
Botafogo-PBDrawFlamengo
12.18% (-0.142 -0.14)20.67% (-0.055 -0.05)67.15% (0.2 0.2)
Both teams to score 41.89% (-0.241 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.19% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)51.81% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.43% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)73.57% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Botafogo-PB Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.03% (-0.3 -0.3)50.97% (0.302 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.68% (-0.205 -0.21)85.32% (0.20699999999999 0.21)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (0.033000000000001 0.03)14.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.4% (0.059999999999995 0.06)42.6% (-0.058 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo-PB 12.18%
    Flamengo 67.13%
    Draw 20.67%
Botafogo-PBDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 5% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 3.25% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-0 @ 1.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 12.18%
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 20.67%
0-1 @ 14.29% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 13.77% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 8.85% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.27% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.65% (0.016 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 67.13%