Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Botafogo-PB had a probability of 12.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.77%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Botafogo-PB win it was 1-0 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Flamengo in this match.