Copa do Brasil | First Round
Feb 28, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Dr. Oswaldo Teixeira Duarte
Botafogo

Portuguesa
1 - 1
Botafogo-PB

Amorim (11')
Everton (45'), Antunes (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alves da Cruz (3')
Dourado (14'), Alves da Cruz (45+1'), Henrique Pontes Pereira (56'), Santos da Silva (72'), Roberto de Souza Junior (81'), Almeida da Silva (90+2')
Botafogo-PB win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil First Round clash between Portuguesa and Botafogo-PB.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portuguesa

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Last Game: Palestino 2-1 Portuguesa
Tuesday, February 27 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
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Botafogo-PB

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Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Botafogo-PB
Wednesday, March 4 at 10.15pm in Copa do Brasil
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portuguesa win with a probability of 43.7%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Botafogo-PB had a probability of 27.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portuguesa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Botafogo-PB win it was 0-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
PortuguesaDrawBotafogo-PB
43.7% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)28.72% (0.050000000000001 0.05)27.58% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 43.4% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.44% (-0.117 -0.12)62.56% (0.115 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.85% (-0.084 -0.08)82.14% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Portuguesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (-0.14 -0.14)28.5% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.72% (-0.174 -0.17)64.27% (0.172 0.17)
Botafogo-PB Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.7% (0.021999999999998 0.02)39.29% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24% (0.021000000000001 0.02)76% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Portuguesa 43.69%
    Botafogo-PB 27.58%
    Draw 28.71%
PortuguesaDrawBotafogo-PB
1-0 @ 14.05%
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 43.69%
1-1 @ 13.13% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.19% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.71%
0-1 @ 10.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 27.58%

rhs 2.0


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