Copa Libertadores
May 14, 2025 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Mateus Uribe 31' yellowcard
  • Kevin Stiven Viveros Rodallega 46' goal
  • Andres Sarmiento 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Marino Hinestroza 90'+4' yellowcard

Atletico Nacional vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 9, 2025 1.30am
Atletico Nacional 3 - 1 Internacional

Bahia

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 7, 2025 11.00pm
Bahia 1 - 3 Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Nacional in this match.

Result

Atletico Nacional 56.82% (-0.02)
Draw 22.82% (-0.01)
Bahia 20.35% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.83% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.47% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.52% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.2% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.8% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.51% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.49% (-0.03)

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 83.85% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 16.15% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 54.41% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 45.59% (-0.02)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 63% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 37% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 26.21% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 73.78% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Atletico Nacional 56.82%
Draw 22.82%
Bahia 20.35%
Atletico Nacional
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.93% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 6.04% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.98% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.74% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 56.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.83%
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.91% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 22.82%
Bahia
0-1 @ 5.94% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.39% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.95% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.79% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 20.35%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 25, 2025 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Santiago Ramos Mingo 11' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ramos Mingo 11' yellowcard
  • Willian Jose 71' goal
  • Willian Jose 71' goal
  • yellowcard Jorman Campuzano 10'
  • yellowcard Jorman Campuzano 10'