Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 9, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atletico Nacional
3 - 1
Internacional

Stiven Viveros Rodallega (39', 39', 90+3', 90+3'), Arce (55', 55')
Tesillo (45+3'), Tesillo (45+3'), Arce (66'), Arce (66'), Roman (73'), Roman (73'), Campuzano (83'), Campuzano (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Patrick (80' pen., 80' pen.)
Vitao (21'), Vitao (21'), Lucca (45+3'), Lucca (45+3'), Maia (50'), Maia (50'), Patrick (83'), Patrick (83')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Nacional and Internacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Nacional

Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Atletico Nacional
Friday, April 25 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Internacional

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Corinthians 4-2 Internacional
Saturday, May 3 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.

Result
Atletico Nacional	Draw	Internacional
41.11% ( -0.63)	27.64% ( -0.07)	31.25% ( 0.7)

Both teams to score 48.04% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.43% (

0.46)

57.56% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.65% (

0.37)

78.34% (

-0.37)

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.47% (

-0.13)

27.52% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.97% (

-0.16)

63.03% (

0.16)

Internacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.28% (

0.76)

33.71% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.63% (

0.82)

70.37% (

-0.82)

Score Analysis

Atletico Nacional 41.11%

Internacional 31.24%

Draw 27.63%

Atletico Nacional	Draw	Internacional
1-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.11%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.39% Total : 31.24%