Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 74.2%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 8.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.29%) and 3-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.