Internacional (Brasil)
Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
Apr 29, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Beira-Rio

Internacional
1 - 0
Maracana

Wesley (32'), Pereira Soares (81'), Prado Alves (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

da Rocha Soares dos Santos (10'), Souza da Silva (26'), Rogerio (68'), Frederico Lima Taumaturgo (79'), Queiroz de Jesus (88')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Internacional and Maracana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Internacional 3-1 Juventude
Saturday, April 26 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Maracana 0-0 Ceilandia (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, March 12 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 82.35%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Maracana had a probability of 5.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.18%) and 1-0 (11.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Maracana win it was 0-1 (2.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

Result
InternacionalDrawMaracana
82.35% (0.01400000000001 0.01)12.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)5.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
Both teams to score 36.49% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.91% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)40.09% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.54% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)62.46% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)7.43% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.26% (0.01100000000001 0.01)26.74% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Maracana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)60.58% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.05% (-0.0129 -0.01)90.95% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 82.33%
    Maracana 5.08%
    Draw 12.57%
InternacionalDrawMaracana
2-0 @ 15.2%
3-0 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 8.57% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 4.46% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-1 @ 4.29%
5-1 @ 2.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08%
6-1 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 82.33%
1-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 12.57%
0-1 @ 2.26% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-2 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 5.08%

rhs 2.0


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