Copa do Brasil | First Round

Feb 26, 2025 at 11pm UK

Estadio Olimpico Horacio Domingos de Sousa

Maracana
1 - 1
Ferroviario

Lucas Ramos da Silva (78')
Alan Bezerra Ferreira (28'), da Rocha Soares dos Santos (58'), Anastacio Silva Filho (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ferreira da Silva (32')
Brito dos Santos (12'), Ferreira da Silva (58'), Ramires (70')

Maracana win 5-4 on penalties

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil First Round clash between Maracana and Ferroviario.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maracana win with a probability of 48.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Ferroviario had a probability of 24.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maracana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Ferroviario win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Maracana	Draw	Ferroviario
48.92% ( 0.61)	26.1% ( 0.17)	24.98% ( -0.77)

Both teams to score 48.55% (

-1.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45% (

-1.18)

55% (

1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.73% (

-0.98)

76.27% (

0.98)

Maracana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.48% (

-0.23)

22.51% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.91% (

-0.34)

56.08% (

0.34)

Ferroviario Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.66% (

-1.32)

37.34% (

1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.87% (

-1.32)

74.12% (

1.32)

Score Analysis

Maracana 48.92%

Ferroviario 24.98%

Draw 26.09%

Maracana	Draw	Ferroviario
1-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.92% Total : 48.92%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.98%