Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 63.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Centro Sportivo Alagoano had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.33%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Centro Sportivo Alagoano win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.