Gremio
Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 2nd Leg
May 21, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Arena do Gremio
Centro Sportivo Alagoano

Gremio
0 - 0
CSA

Aravena (89')
Marlon (10'), Marlon (10'), Kannemann (90+2'), Kannemann (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Goncalves Batista (25'), Henrique dos Santos (25'), Goncalves Batista (25'), Henrique dos Santos (25'), Henrique dos Santos (28'), Henrique dos Santos (28'), Gustavo da Silva Alves (70'), Gustavo da Silva Alves (70'), Magno Santos de Melo Filho (90+9'), Magno Santos de Melo Filho (90+9')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Gremio and Centro Sportivo Alagoano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Gremio
Sunday, May 18 at 1am in Brasileiro

Centro Sportivo Alagoano

All competitions
Last Game: CSA 3-2 Gremio
Thursday, May 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 63.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Centro Sportivo Alagoano had a probability of 14.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.33%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Centro Sportivo Alagoano win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawCentro Sportivo Alagoano
63.67% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)21.53% (0.011000000000003 0.01)14.79% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 46.12% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)49.91% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.1% (0.016000000000002 0.02)71.9% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)15.03% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)43.51% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Centro Sportivo Alagoano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.28% (0.053000000000004 0.05)45.71% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.5% (0.041 0.04)81.5% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 63.67%
    Centro Sportivo Alagoano 14.79%
    Draw 21.53%
GremioDrawCentro Sportivo Alagoano
1-0 @ 13.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.1%
4-0 @ 3.69% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 63.67%
1-1 @ 10.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 3.78% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.53%
0-1 @ 5.38% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 3.99% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 14.79%

Head to Head
May 1, 2025 1.30am
Third Round 1st Leg
CSA
3-2
Gremio
Marques Rezende (15'), Marcelinho (87'), Brito Batista (90+2')
Rafael Ramos Fernandes (27'), Silas (38'), Camacho (69')
Braithwaite (23'), Moreira (80')
Jemerson (27'), Kannemann (72')
Nov 8, 2019 12am
Gameweek 31
Gremio
2-1
CSA
Tardelli (8'), Alves (93' og.)
Kannemann (62'), Souza (78'), Cortez (91')
Rafinha (90')
Costa (44'), Alves (68')
Jul 30, 2019 12am
CSA
0-0
Gremio
Castan (39'), Bueno (57'), Didira (60'), Jordi (90')
Miranda (23'), Capixaba (59')