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-
Jean Lucas
5'
-
Erick da Costa Farias
23'
-
Gilberto
53'
-
Erick da Costa Farias
59'
-
Michel Araujo
66'
-
Nicolas Acevedo
88'
-
Ronald
12'
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Claudinho
40'
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Erick
41'
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Renato Kayzer
54'
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Osvaldo
63'
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Pepe
71'
Bahia vs Vitoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 15.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
Result
Bahia
62.93%
▼
(-0.14)
Draw
21.81%
▲
(+0.08)
Vitoria
15.25%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
46.34%
▼
(-0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.8%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 2.5
50.19%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 3.5
27.85%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 3.5
72.15%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 4.5
13.21%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 4.5
86.79%
▲
(+0.13)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5
84.63%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
15.36%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
55.85%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 1.5
44.14%
▲
(+0.21)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5
54.75%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
45.24%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
18.87%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
81.13%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Bahia
62.93%
Draw
21.8%
Vitoria
15.26%
Bahia
1-0
@
13.02%
▲
(+0.06)
2-0 @ 12.19% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 62.93%
2-0 @ 12.19% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 62.93%
Draw
1-1
@
10.32%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 21.8%
0-0 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 21.8%
Vitoria
0-1
@
5.51%
▲
(+0.04)
1-2 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 15.26%
1-2 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 15.26%