Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 at 8pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia
2 - 1
Vitoria

da Costa Farias (23'), Araujo (66')
Gilberto (53'), da Costa Farias (59'), Acevedo (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kayzer (54')
Ronald (12'), Claudinho (40'), Erick (41'), Osvaldo (63')
Pepe (71')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Vitoria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 1-0 Bahia
Wednesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Vitoria

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-1 Vitoria
Thursday, May 15 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 15.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawVitoria
62.93% (-0.13 -0.13)21.81% (0.074999999999999 0.07)15.25% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.34% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.8% (-0.198 -0.2)50.19% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.85% (-0.176 -0.18)72.15% (0.178 0.18)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.63% (-0.108 -0.11)15.36% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.85% (-0.204 -0.2)44.14% (0.206 0.21)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.75% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)45.24% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.87% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)81.13% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 62.93%
    Vitoria 15.26%
    Draw 21.8%
BahiaDrawVitoria
1-0 @ 13.02% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 12.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.61% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.57% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 62.93%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.95% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 21.8%
0-1 @ 5.51% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.1% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 15.26%

Head to Head
Aug 11, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 22
Bahia
2-0
Vitoria
Ribeiro (15'), Luciano (90+7')
Alerrandro (49'), Alexandre (81'), Yago (90+1')

Esteves (45+3'), Kanu (49'), Carpini (53'), Santos de Alcantara (82'), Oliveira (87')
Carpini (54')
Apr 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 3
Vitoria
2-2
Bahia
Matheuzinho (20'), Leonardo (57')
Naldi (23'), Matheuzinho (42'), Zeca (66')
Teixeira (69'), Stum (72')
Arias (48'), Cuesta (51'), de Pena (90+3')
Nov 11, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 33
Vitoria
2-2
Bahia
Ceara (8', 68')
Ceara (2'), Bruno (73'), Benitez (76')
Nilton (39'), Ramires (72')
Gregore (17'), Brumado (67'), Nilton (84'), Grolli (96')
Jul 22, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 14
Bahia
4-1
Vitoria
Rafael (16'), Vinicius (27'), Tiago (66'), Gilberto (67')
Rafael (2'), Fonseca (70'), Tiago (91')
Lucas (73')
Jeferson (2'), Bou (15'), Arouca (47'), Bryan (65'), Luan (74')
Bryan (75')
Jul 2, 2017 8pm
Vitoria
0-0
Bahia
rhs 2.0


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