Copa Sudamericana
May 15, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Lucas Correa 76' yellowcard
  • Lucas Correa 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Claudinho 80'
  • yellowcard Claudinho 80'
  • goal Claudinho 83'
  • goal Claudinho 83'

Cerro Largo vs Vitoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 7, 2025 11.00pm
Cerro Largo 1 - 3 U. Catolica

Vitoria

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 6, 2025 11.00pm
Vitoria 1 - 1 Defensa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result

Cerro Largo 36.02% (+0.06)
Draw 28.43% (+0.03)
Vitoria 35.55% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.51% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.17% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 59.83% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 19.89% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 80.11% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 8.27% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 91.73% (+0.04)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5 68.35% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 31.65% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 31.94% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 68.07% (+0.02)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5 68.05% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 31.95% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 31.6% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 68.41% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Cerro Largo 36.01%
Draw 28.43%
Vitoria 35.55%
Cerro Largo
1-0 @ 11.63% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 7.64% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.69% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.57% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.27% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.11% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.43%
Vitoria
0-1 @ 11.53%
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.58% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 35.55%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 24, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Matheuzinho 33' yellowcard
  • Matheuzinho 33' yellowcard
  • Ronald 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ronald 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Janderson 51' yellowcard
  • Janderson 51' yellowcard
  • Facundo Parada 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Facundo Parada 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Bertochi 26'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Bertochi 26'
  • yellowcard Alan Garcia 42'
  • yellowcard Alan Garcia 42'
  • goal Facundo Peraza 75'
  • goal Facundo Peraza 75'
  • yellowcard Facundo Parada 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Facundo Parada 90'+5'