Copa Sudamericana
May 7, 2025 11.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Sebastian Assis 27' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Bertochi 35' yellowcard
  • Lucas Correa 60' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Anasco 61' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Anasco 90'+4' goal
  • goal Byron Palacios 20'
  • goal Ismael Diaz 31'
  • yellowcard Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla 40'
  • yellowcard Azarias Londono 43'
  • goal Ismael Diaz 87'

Cerro Largo vs Universidad Catolica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 24, 2025 1.30am
Vitoria 0 - 1 Cerro Largo

Universidad Catolica

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 25, 2025 3.00am
U. Catolica 3 - 1 Defensa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.

Result

Cerro Largo 30.85% (+0.05)
Draw 27.56% (-0.04)
Universidad Catolica 41.6% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.13% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.62% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 57.38% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 21.8% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 78.2% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 9.39% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 90.61% (-0.07)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5 66.09% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 33.91% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 29.42% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 70.58% (-0.11)

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5 72.83% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 27.17% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 37.42% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 62.58% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Cerro Largo 30.85%
Draw 27.55%
Universidad Catolica 41.59%
Cerro Largo
1-0 @ 9.97% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.02% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.39% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.53% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.65% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 30.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.21% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.57% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.55%
Universidad Catolica
0-1 @ 12% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.46% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.82% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.67% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.99% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 41.59%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 11, 2025 3.00am
3
1
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo
  • Jeronimo Cacciabue 7' yellowcard
  • Jeronimo Cacciabue 7' yellowcard
  • Azarias Londono 18' goal
  • Azarias Londono 18' goal
  • Ismael Diaz 45'+1' goal
  • Ismael Diaz 45'+1' goal
  • Ismael Diaz 56' yellowcard
  • Ismael Diaz 56' yellowcard
  • Byron Palacios 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Byron Palacios 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Ismael Diaz 90'+4' goal
  • Ismael Diaz 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Gianoli 51'
  • yellowcard Martin Gianoli 51'
  • yellowcard Brian Ferrares 59'
  • yellowcard Brian Ferrares 59'
  • yellowcard Lucas Correa 62'
  • yellowcard Lucas Correa 62'
  • goal Brian Ferrares 75'
  • goal Brian Ferrares 75'