Copa Sudamericana
Apr 25, 2025 3.00am
3
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo
  • Ismael Diaz 9' goal
  • Ismael Diaz 9' goal
  • Gregori Anangono 61' yellowcard
  • Gregori Anangono 61' yellowcard
  • Luis Johan Moreno Zuniga 70' goal
  • Luis Johan Moreno Zuniga 70' goal
  • Ismael Diaz 80' goal
  • Ismael Diaz 80' goal
  • Ismael Diaz 81' yellowcard
  • Ismael Diaz 81' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Gutierrez 14'
  • goal Kevin Gutierrez 14'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Cannavo 82'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Cannavo 82'
  • yellowcard Matias Ramirez 83'
  • yellowcard Matias Ramirez 83'
  • redcard Matias Ramirez 90'+1'
  • redcard Matias Ramirez 90'+1'

Universidad Catolica vs Defensa y Justicia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad Catolica

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 11, 2025 3.00am
U. Catolica 3 - 1 Cerro Largo

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 10, 2025 11.00pm
Defensa 0 - 0 Vitoria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 49.49%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.

Result

Universidad Catolica 49.49% (+0.06)
Draw 24.92% (-0.03)
Defensa y Justicia 25.58% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.63% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.08% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 49.91% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 28.09% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 71.9% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 13.37% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 86.62% (-0.04)

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5 79.81% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 20.19% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 47.51% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 52.49% (-0.08)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5 65.94% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 34.05% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 29.26% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 70.73%

Score analysis

Universidad Catolica 49.48%
Draw 24.91%
Defensa y Justicia 25.58%
Universidad Catolica
1-0 @ 10.99% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.8% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.06% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.69% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.02% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 49.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.87% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 24.91%
Defensa y Justicia
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 25.58%