Copa Sudamericana
May 6, 2025 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Edu 18' yellowcard
  • Neris 25' yellowcard
  • Edu 36' goal
  • Hugo 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cesar Perez 35'
  • goal Gaston Togni 55'

Vitoria vs Defensa y Justicia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 24, 2025 1.30am
Vitoria 0 - 1 Cerro Largo

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 25, 2025 3.00am
U. Catolica 3 - 1 Defensa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result

Vitoria 39.9% (+0.01)
Draw 28.23% (+0.01)
Defensa y Justicia 31.88% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.56% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.48% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 59.52% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 20.13% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 79.87% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 8.41% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 91.59%

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5 70.86% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 29.14% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 34.92% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.07% (-0.01)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5 65.71% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 34.29% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 29.01% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 70.99% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Vitoria 39.9%
Draw 28.22%
Defensa y Justicia 31.87%
Vitoria
1-0 @ 12.32% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 3.12% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 39.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 9.99% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.22%
Defensa y Justicia
0-1 @ 10.69%
1-2 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 5.72% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 31.87%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 10, 2025 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
  • Kevin Gutierrez 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ze Marcos 78'