Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
39.9% ( 0)	28.23% ( 0)	31.88% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 46.56% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.48% (

-0.01)

59.52% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.13% (

-0)

79.87% (

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.86% (

-0)

29.14% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.92% (

-0)

65.07% (

-0)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.71% (

-0.01)

34.29% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.01% (

-0.01)

70.99% (

Score Analysis

Vitoria 39.9%

Defensa y Justicia 31.87%

Draw 28.22%

Vitoria	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 12.32% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.13% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.61% Total : 39.9%	1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 9.99% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.22%	0-1 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 5.72% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.87%