Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 16
May 2, 2025 7.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
  • Luciano Gomez 18' goal
  • Nicolas Retamar 61' yellowcard
  • Fabrizio Sartori 71' goal
  • Mauricio Cardillo 82' goal
  • goal Cesar Perez 35'
  • goal Gaston Togni 44'
  • yellowcard Tobias Rubio 54'
  • yellowcard Lucas Gonzalez 61'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Aguilera 63'
  • yellowcard Valentin Larralde 90'

Independiente Rivadavia vs Defensa y Justicia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Rivadavia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 29, 2025 1.45am
C. Cordoba 1 - 2 Independiente Rivadavia
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Sebastian Villa

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 28, 2025 11.30pm
Defensa 1 - 2 Racing
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Gaston Togni

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 36.28%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Rivadavia would win this match.

Result

Independiente Rivadavia 36.28% (-0.50)
Draw 28.49% (-0.04)
Defensa y Justicia 35.23% (+0.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.33% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.95% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 60.04% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 19.73% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 80.27% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 8.18% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 91.82% (-0.06)

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 0.5 68.41% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 31.59% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 32% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 67.99% (+0.29)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5 67.73% (+0.42)
Under 0.5 32.27% (-0.42)
Over 1.5 31.23% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 68.76% (-0.47)

Score analysis

Independiente Rivadavia 36.27%
Draw 28.48%
Defensa y Justicia 35.23%
Independiente Rivadavia
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.15)
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.77% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 36.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.28% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.19% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.48%
Defensa y Justicia
0-1 @ 11.53% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 7.51% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 6.52% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 2.83% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.46% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.63% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.23%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 14
Sep 17, 2024 1.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
  • Franco Romero 7' goal
  • Franco Romero 7' goal
  • Federico Milo 47' yellowcard
  • Federico Milo 47' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Ham 68' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Ham 68' yellowcard
  • Luis Sequeira 75' yellowcard
  • Luis Sequeira 75' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Villa 82' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Villa 82' yellowcard
  • Ivan Villalba 84' yellowcard
  • Ivan Villalba 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Cannavo 34'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Cannavo 34'
  • yellowcard Matias Ramirez 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Matias Ramirez 90'+7'