Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 1-0 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.