Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.