Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria would win this match.