Copa Sudamericana
May 7, 2025 11.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Complejo Deportivo Socialista
  • Junior Paredes 28' goal
  • Gerardo Padron 49' goal
  • Momo Mbaye 56' yellowcard
  • Raudy Javier Guerrero Reyes 60' goal
  • Junior Paredes 65' goal
  • goal Joao Victor 38'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 58'
  • yellowcard Joao Victor 78'

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Academia Puerto Cabello

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 23, 2025 3.00am
Melgar 1 - 0 Puerto Cabello

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 23, 2025 1.30am
Vasco 0 - 0 Lanus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 45.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 27.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 1-0 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result

Academia Puerto Cabello 27.29% (-0.09)
Draw 27.59% (-0.03)
Vasco da Gama 45.12% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.21% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.07% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 58.92% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 20.59% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 79.41% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 8.68% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 91.32% (-0.03)

Academia Puerto Cabello Goals

Over 0.5 62.49% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 37.51% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 25.71% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 74.29% (+0.04)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 73.95% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 26.05% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 38.91% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 61.09% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Academia Puerto Cabello 27.29%
Draw 27.58%
Vasco da Gama 45.11%
Academia Puerto Cabello
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.32% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.7% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.07% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.39% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 27.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.77% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.58%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 13.14%
0-2 @ 8.84% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.67% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.96% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.89% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.91% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 45.11%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 9, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pablo Vegetti 45'+2' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 45'+2' goal
  • Nuno Moreira 61' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 61' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 61' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 80' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Junior Paredes 42'
  • yellowcard Junior Paredes 42'
  • yellowcard Momo Mbaye 52'
  • yellowcard Momo Mbaye 52'
  • yellowcard Momo Mbaye 52'
  • yellowcard Luis Casiani 62'
  • yellowcard Luis Casiani 62'
  • yellowcard Luis Casiani 62'
  • yellowcard Jorge Echeverria 84'
  • yellowcard Jorge Echeverria 84'