Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 7, 2025 at 11pm UK

Complejo Deportivo Socialista

Puerto Cabello
4 - 1
Vasco

Paredes (28' pen., 65'), Padron (49'), Javier Guerrero Reyes (60')
Mbaye (56')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Victor (38')
Paulinho (58'), Victor (78')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Academia Puerto Cabello and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Academia Puerto Cabello

Last Game: Melgar 1-0 Puerto Cabello
Wednesday, April 23 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Vasco 0-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, May 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 45.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 27.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 1-0 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Academia Puerto Cabello	Draw	Vasco da Gama
27.29% ( -0.08)	27.59% ( -0.03)	45.12% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 46.21% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.07% (

0.05)

58.92% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.59% (

0.04)

79.41% (

-0.04)

Academia Puerto Cabello Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.49% (

-0.04)

37.51% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.71% (

-0.04)

74.29% (

0.03)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.95% (

0.08)

26.05% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.91% (

0.1)

61.09% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Academia Puerto Cabello 27.29%

Vasco da Gama 45.11%

Draw 27.58%

Academia Puerto Cabello	Draw	Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 27.29%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.58%	0-1 @ 13.14% 0-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.11%