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World Cup

Argentina national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Jun 11, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Colombia national football team

Argentina
1 - 1
Colombia

Almada (81')
Molina (32'), Paredes (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diaz (24')
Castano (45+1'), Sanchez (72'), Roman (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up against Colombia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions
Last Game: Argentina 4-1 Brazil
Wednesday, March 26 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Next Game: Chile vs. Argentina
Friday, June 6 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina141831
2Ecuador14826
3Uruguay14721
4Brazil14421
5Paraguay14221
6Colombia14420
7Venezuela14-415
8Bolivia14-1614
9Peru14-1110
10Chile14-1210

Colombia

All competitions
Last Game: Colombia 2-2 Paraguay
Wednesday, March 26 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Next Game: Colombia vs. Peru
Friday, June 6 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina141831
2Ecuador14826
3Uruguay14721
4Brazil14421
5Paraguay14221
6Colombia14420
7Venezuela14-415
8Bolivia14-1614
9Peru14-1110
10Chile14-1210

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Argentina win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw has a probability of 23.5% and a win for Colombia has a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Colombia win it is 0-1 (6.4%).

Result
ArgentinaDrawColombia
60.43% (0.123 0.12)23.53% (0.194 0.19)16.04% (-0.311 -0.31)
Both teams to score 43.18% (-1.126 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.59% (-1.17 -1.17)55.41% (1.174 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.39% (-0.968 -0.97)76.61% (0.971 0.97)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.94% (-0.38199999999999 -0.38)18.06% (0.385 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.03% (-0.66 -0.66)48.97% (0.66500000000001 0.67)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.69% (-1.122 -1.12)47.31% (1.126 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.28% (-0.853 -0.85)82.72% (0.85599999999999 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Argentina 60.42%
    Colombia 16.04%
    Draw 23.53%
ArgentinaDrawColombia
1-0 @ 14.62% (0.48 0.48)
2-0 @ 12.51% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-0 @ 7.14% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-0 @ 3.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.113 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 60.42%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.54% (0.381 0.38)
2-2 @ 3.51% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 6.4% (0.089 0.09)
1-2 @ 4.1% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 16.04%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 9.30pm
Group Stage
Colombia
2-1
Argentina
Mosquera (25'), Rodriguez (60' pen.)
Duran (79'), Vargas (90')
Gonzalez (48')
Montiel (21'), Romero (90+8')
> Preview
Jul 15, 2024 2.15am
Final
Argentina
1-0
Colombia
Martinez (112')
Mac Allister (61'), Lo Celso (118')

Cordoba (27'), Borja (115')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2022 11.30pm
Group Stage
Argentina
1-0
Colombia
Martinez (29')
Acuna (44'), Montiel (58')

Suarez Charris (77'), Sanchez (90')
> Preview
Jul 7, 2021 2am
Semi-Finals
Argentina
1-1
Colombia
(Aggregate 1-1 | Argentina win 3-2 on penalties)
Martinez (7')
Lo Celso (21'), Montiel (72'), Rodriguez (87'), Pezzella (90+1')
Diaz (61')
Cuadrado (45+4'), Fabra (55'), Borja (63'), Munoz (75'), Cardona (86'), Barrios (88')
> Preview
Jun 9, 2021 12am
Group Stage
Colombia
2-2
Argentina
Muriel (51' pen.), Borja (90+4')
Mina (34'), Zapata (45+3'), Medina (47'), Tesillo (57'), Borja (90+1')
Romero (3'), Paredes (8')
Romero (45+9'), Otamendi (49'), Paredes (62'), Pezzella (79')
> Preview
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