World Cup Qualifying - South America
Mar 21, 2025 12.45am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Juscelino Kubitschek
  • Raphinha 6' goal
  • Raphinha 6' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 16' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 16' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 86' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 86' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 90'+9' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 90'+9' goal
  • goal Luis Diaz 41'
  • goal Luis Diaz 41'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 48'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 48'

Brazil vs Colombia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Nov 20, 2024 12.45am
Brazil 1 - 1 Uruguay

Colombia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Nov 19, 2024 11.00pm
Colombia 0 - 1 Ecuador

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brazil in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brazil.

Result

Brazil 55.97% (+0.91)
Draw 24.56% (-0.24)
Colombia 19.46% (-0.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.29% (-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.46% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 54.54% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 24.11% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 75.88% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 10.8% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 89.2% (-0.06)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5 80.6% (+0.39)
Under 0.5 19.4% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 48.79% (+0.64)
Under 1.5 51.21% (-0.65)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5 57.43% (-0.69)
Under 0.5 42.57% (+0.68)
Over 1.5 21.07% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 78.92% (+0.59)

Score analysis

Brazil 55.96%
Draw 24.56%
Colombia 19.46%
Brazil
1-0 @ 13.54% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 11.1% (+0.24)
2-1 @ 9.48% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.07% (+0.20)
3-1 @ 5.18% (+0.08)
4-0 @ 2.49% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.13% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 55.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.56%
Colombia
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 3.01% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 19.46%

Head to Head

Copa America
Jul 3, 2024 2.00am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Levi's Stadium
  • Vinicius Junior 7' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 7' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 12' goal
  • Raphinha 12' goal
  • Joao Gomes 27' yellowcard
  • Joao Gomes 27' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 73' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Deiver Machado 25'
  • yellowcard Deiver Machado 25'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Lerma 27'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Lerma 27'
  • goal Daniel Munoz 45'+2'
  • goal Daniel Munoz 45'+2'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Nov 17, 2023 12.00am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
  • Davinson Sanchez 20' yellowcard
  • Davinson Sanchez 20' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 75' goal
  • Luis Diaz 75' goal
  • Luis Diaz 79' goal
  • Luis Diaz 79' goal
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 4'
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 4'
  • yellowcard Fernando Diniz 21'
  • yellowcard Fernando Diniz 21'
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 78'
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 78'
  • yellowcard Pepe 90'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • yellowcard Pepe 90'
  • yellowcard 90'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Nov 12, 2021 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fred 34' yellowcard
  • Lucas Paqueta 72' goal
  • Neymar 74' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 84' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Johan Mojica 23'
  • yellowcard Wilmar Barrios 29'
  • yellowcard Juan Cuadrado 43'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 10, 2021 10.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jefferson Lerma 48' yellowcard
  • Rafael Borre 63' yellowcard
Copa America
Jun 24, 2021 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alex Sandro 14' yellowcard
  • Everton Ribeiro 27' yellowcard
  • Roberto Firmino 78' goal
  • Neymar 87' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 90'+10' goal
  • goal Luis Diaz 10'
  • yellowcard Juan Cuadrado 70'
  • yellowcard David Ospina 81'
  • yellowcard Wilmar Barrios 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cuellar 90'+12'
International Friendlies
Sep 7, 2019 1.30am
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Casemiro 19' goal
  • Casemiro 23' yellowcard
  • Neymar 58' goal
  • goal Luis Muriel 25'
  • goal Luis Muriel 34'