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World Cup
Argentina national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 26, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Brazil national football team

Argentina
4 - 1
Brazil

Alvarez (4'), Fernandez (12'), Mac Allister (37'), Simeone (71')
Tagliafico (40'), Almada (41'), Otamendi (69'), De Paul (74'), Fernandez (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Cunha (26')
Murillo (28'), Raphinha (40'), Andre (71'), Ortiz (79'), Endrick (87')

The Match

Match Report

Premier League stars Enzo Fernandez and Alexis Mac Allister help fire Argentina to a 4-1 victory over Brazil in World Cup qualifying.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Brazil could line up for Tuesday's 2026 World Cup qualifier against Argentina in Buenos Aires.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions
Last Game: Uruguay 0-1 Argentina
Friday, March 21 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina131528
2Ecuador13825
3Brazil13721
4Uruguay13720
5Paraguay13220
6Colombia13419
7Bolivia13-1613
8Venezuela13-512
9Peru13-1010
10Chile13-129

Brazil

All competitions
Last Game: Brazil 2-1 Colombia
Friday, March 21 at 12.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina131528
2Ecuador13825
3Brazil13721
4Uruguay13720
5Paraguay13220
6Colombia13419
7Bolivia13-1613
8Venezuela13-512
9Peru13-1010
10Chile13-129

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Brazil had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Brazil win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
ArgentinaDrawBrazil
51.32% (0.662 0.66) 24.62% (-0.23 -0.23) 24.06% (-0.424 -0.42)
Both teams to score 52.04% (0.272 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.04% (0.576 0.58)49.96% (-0.56999999999999 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.05% (0.513 0.51)71.95% (-0.506 -0.51)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (0.49600000000001 0.5)19.46% (-0.49 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.68% (0.802 0.8)51.31% (-0.796 -0.8)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.61% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)35.39% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.85% (-0.061 -0.06)72.15% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Argentina 51.31%
    Brazil 24.06%
    Draw 24.62%
ArgentinaDrawBrazil
1-0 @ 11.27% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.076 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.06% (0.077 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 51.31%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.72% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 24.06%

How you voted: Argentina vs Brazil

Argentina
52.7%
Draw
20.8%
Brazil
26.5%
260
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2023 12.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
0-1
Argentina

Jesus (5'), Raphinha (14'), Augusto (33')
Joelinton (81')
Otamendi (63')
> Preview
Sep 22, 2022 1am
Group Stage
Brazil
P-P
Argentina
> Preview
Jun 11, 2022 12pm
International Friendly
Brazil
P-P
Argentina
Nov 16, 2021 11.30pm
Group Stage
Argentina
0-0
Brazil
Paredes (45+1'), Romero (50'), Pezzella (59'), Acuna (75')
Paqueta (45'), Fabinho (73'), Antony (76')
> Preview
Jul 11, 2021 1am
Final
Argentina
1-0
Brazil
Di Maria (22')
Paredes (33'), Lo Celso (51'), De Paul (68'), Otamendi (81'), Montiel (89')

Fred (3'), Lodi (70'), Paqueta (72'), Marquinhos (82')
> Match Report
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