Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.43%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Venezia win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | AC Milan |
| 17.52% ( | 22.95% | 59.53% |
| Both teams to score 47.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49% | 51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.13% | 72.87% ( |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.23% ( | 42.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.9% | 79.1% ( |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( | 16.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.25% | 46.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezia | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 6.1% ( 2-1 @ 4.62% 2-0 @ 2.59% 3-1 @ 1.31% 3-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.74% Total : 17.52% | 1-1 @ 10.88% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.95% | 0-1 @ 12.81% 0-2 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-3 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 5.78% 0-4 @ 3.03% 1-4 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.45% 2-4 @ 1.09% 0-5 @ 1.08% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.83% Total : 59.52% |