Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

Apr 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
0 - 1
Atalanta

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ederson (62')
Cuadrado (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 0-4 AC Milan
Friday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Bologna
Sunday, April 13 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Atalanta BC
35.13% ( -0.4)	24.58% ( -0)	40.29% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 59.07% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.12% (

-0.05)

43.88% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.74% (

-0.05)

66.27% (

0.05)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.52% (

-0.25)

24.48% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.08% (

-0.35)

58.92% (

0.35)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.21% (

0.17)

21.79% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45% (

0.26)

55% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 35.13%

Atalanta BC 40.29%

Draw 24.57%

AC Milan	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.13%	1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.57%	1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.29%