Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • yellowcard Juan Cuadrado 56'
  • goal Ederson 62'

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2025 7.45pm
Udinese 0 - 4 AC Milan
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Christian Pulisic

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2025 11.30am
Atalanta 2 - 0 Bologna
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Mateo Retegui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result

AC Milan 35.13% (-0.41)
Draw 24.58% (-0.01)
Atalanta BC 40.29% (+0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.07% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.12% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 43.88% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 33.74% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 66.27% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 17.33% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.67% (+0.04)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 75.52% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 24.48% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 41.08% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 58.92% (+0.36)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 78.21% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 21.79% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 45% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 55% (-0.27)

Score analysis

AC Milan 35.13%
Draw 24.57%
Atalanta BC 40.29%
AC Milan
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.48% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 35.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.43%
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.33% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.57%
Atalanta BC
1-2 @ 8.71% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 8.13% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 6.19% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 4.43% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.14% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.12% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.69% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.2% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 40.29%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Charles De Ketelaere 12' goal
  • Charles De Ketelaere 55' yellowcard
  • Raoul Bellanova 71' yellowcard
  • Ademola Lookman 87' goal
  • goal Alvaro Morata 22'
  • yellowcard Paulo Fonseca 75'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Rafael Leao 3' goal
  • Stefano Pioli 40' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 42'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 44'
  • yellowcard Emil Holm 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Ademola Lookman 56'
  • yellowcard Ederson 90'+4'
Coppa Italia
Jan 10, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Rafael Leao 45' goal
  • Theo Hernandez 57' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 80' yellowcard
  • Antonio Mirante 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Gian Piero Gasperini 38'
  • redcard Gian Piero Gasperini 38'
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 45'+2'
  • goal Teun Koopmeiners 59'
  • yellowcard Ederson 90'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Ademola Lookman 38' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 55' goal
  • Ederson 72' yellowcard
  • Luis Muriel 90'+5' goal
  • goal Olivier Giroud 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 71'
  • goal Luka Jovic 80'
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 80'
  • yellowcard Luka Jovic 88'
  • yellowcard Ismael Bennacer 90'+2'
  • redcard Davide Calabria 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 26, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Juan Musso 25' goal
  • Junior Messias 86' goal
Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Rafael Toloi 16' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Malinovskyi 29' goal
  • Hans Hateboer 48' yellowcard
  • Berat Djimsiti 78' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefano Pioli 23'
  • yellowcard Ante Rebic 45'+1'
  • goal Ismael Bennacer 68'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 75'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 78'