Serie A Gameweek 32
Udinese
Apr 11, 2025 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Dacia Arena
AC Milan
  • Jaka Bijol 74' yellowcard
  • goal Rafael Leao 42'
  • goal Strahinja Pavlovic 45'
  • goal Theo Hernandez 74'
  • goal Tijjani Reijnders 81'
  • yellowcard Filippo Terracciano 89'

Udinese vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2025 7.45pm
Genoa 1 - 0 Udinese
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Lorenzo Lucca

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 7.45pm
AC Milan 2 - 2 Fiorentina
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Christian Pulisic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

Udinese 31.59% ▲ (+0.40)
Draw 25.17% ▼ (-0.04)
AC Milan 43.23% ▼ (-0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.9% ▲ (+0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.47% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 2.5 47.52% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 30.27% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 3.5 69.73% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 4.5 14.86% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 4.5 85.14% ▼ (-0.20)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5 71.63% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 0.5 28.37% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 1.5 35.88% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 1.5 64.11% ▼ (-0.52)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 78.04% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 21.96% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 44.75% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 55.24% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Udinese 31.59%
Draw 25.16%
AC Milan 43.23%
Udinese
1-0 @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 31.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.16%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.13)
1-2 @ 9.02% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.16% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.23%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 8
AC Milan
Oct 19, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Udinese
  • Samuel Chukwueze 13' goal
  • Tijjani Reijnders 29' redcard
  • Filippo Terracciano 49' yellowcard
  • Mike Maignan 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jaka Bijol 43'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Lucca 83'
  • yellowcard Hassane Kamara 89'
Serie A Gameweek 21
Udinese
Jan 20, 2024 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Dacia Arena
AC Milan
  • Lazar Samardzic 42' goal
  • Hassane Kamara 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Festy Ebosele 52' yellowcard
  • Florian Thauvin 55' yellowcard
  • Florian Thauvin 62' goal
  • Walace 65' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Lucca 71' yellowcard
  • Joao Ferreira 78' yellowcard
  • goal Ruben Loftus-Cheek 31'
  • goal Luka Jovic 83'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 88'
  • goal Noah Okafor 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 11
AC Milan
Nov 4, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Udinese
  • Rade Krunic 18' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nehuen Perez 54'
  • yellowcard Christian Kabasele 55'
  • goal Roberto Pereyra 62'
Serie A Gameweek 27
Udinese
Mar 18, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Dacia Arena
AC Milan
  • Roberto Pereyra 9' goal
  • Beto 45'+6' goal
  • Kingsley Ehizibue 70' goal
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 45'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 1
AC Milan
Aug 13, 2022 5.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Udinese
  • Theo Hernandez 11' goal
  • Ante Rebic 15' goal
  • Rade Krunic 34' yellowcard
  • Brahim Diaz 46' goal
  • Ante Rebic 68' goal
  • goal Rodrigo Becao 2'
  • yellowcard Brandon Soppy 9'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Becao 34'
  • goal Adam Masina 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Nehuen Perez 55'
  • yellowcard Festy Ebosele 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 27
AC Milan
Feb 25, 2022 5.50pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Udinese
  • Rafael Leao 29' goal
  • Ante Rebic 68' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nehuen Perez 17'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Becao 49'
  • goal Destiny Udogie 66'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Molina 73'
  • yellowcard Isaac Success 77'

Form Data

Genoa 1 - 0 Udinese
Inter Milan 2 - 1 Udinese
Udinese 0 - 1 Hellas Verona
Lazio 1 - 1 Udinese
Udinese 1 - 0 Parma
Lecce 0 - 1 Udinese
AC Milan 2 - 2 Fiorentina
AC Milan 1 - 1 Inter Milan
Napoli 2 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 2 - 1 Como
Lecce 2 - 3 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 2 Lazio