Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.