Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 31

Apr 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 0
Udinese

Zanoli (77')
Frendrup (26'), Thorsby (48')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lucca (56'), Ekkelenkamp (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Genoa
Saturday, March 29 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Udinese
Sunday, March 30 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Udinese
43.07% ( 0.46)	27.37% ( -0.2)	29.56% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 48.1% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.85% (

0.65)

57.15% (

-0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.98% (

0.51)

78.01% (

-0.51)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.72% (

0.54)

26.28% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.59% (

0.72)

61.4% (

-0.71)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.25% (

0.15)

34.75% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.52% (

0.16)

71.48% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Genoa 43.07%

Udinese 29.56%

Draw 27.37%

Genoa	Draw	Udinese
1-0 @ 12.2% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.07%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.37%	0-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.18% Total : 29.56%