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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Mar 29, 2025 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Genoa logo

Juventus
1 - 0
Genoa

Yildiz (25')
Thuram (31'), Weah (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Frendrup (55'), Malinovskyi (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Lecce
Friday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 15.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
JuventusDrawGenoa
62.19% (0.117 0.12)21.99% (-0.032 -0.03)15.82% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 47.05% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.08% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)49.92% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.09% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)71.91% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (0.031000000000006 0.03)15.51% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57% (0.061999999999998 0.06)44.42% (-0.061 -0.06)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.69% (-0.125 -0.13)44.31% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.62% (-0.103 -0.1)80.38% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 62.19%
    Genoa 15.82%
    Draw 21.98%
JuventusDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 12.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.41% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 3.45% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 62.19%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 21.98%
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.24% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 15.82%

How you voted: Juventus vs Genoa

Juventus
79.0%
Draw
16.1%
Genoa
4.8%
62
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 6
Genoa
0-3
Juventus

Frendrup (27'), Vasquez (76')
Vlahovic (48' pen., 55'), Conceicao (89')
Fagioli (50')
Mar 17, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 29
Juventus
0-0
Genoa
Danilo (39'), Cambiaso (58'), Vlahovic (90+3')
Vlahovic (90+3')
Vitinha (65')
Dec 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Genoa
1-1
Juventus
Gudmundsson (48')
Badelj (74'), Malinovskyi (90')
Chiesa (28' pen.)
Danilo (61'), Allegri (62'), McKennie (70'), Milik (71')
May 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 36
Genoa
2-1
Juventus
Gudmundsson (87'), Criscito (90+5' pen.)
Melegoni (43'), Badelj (78')
Dybala (48')
Dybala (29'), Rugani (34'), Arthur (44')
Dec 5, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Juventus
2-0
Genoa
Cuadrado (9'), Dybala (82')
Pellegrini (34'), Morata (72'), Kean (74')

Cambiaso (50')
rhs 2.0


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