Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.