Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Napoli |
| 36.56% ( | 27.76% ( | 35.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.63% ( | 57.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.81% ( | 78.19% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.93% ( | 30.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.79% ( | 66.21% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% ( | 30.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.13% ( | 66.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 4-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.56% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 2-2 @ 4.65% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0-2 @ 6.45% ( 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0-3 @ 2.54% ( 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 1-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.66% |