Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 62.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.16%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.