Empoli logo
Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 1, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Bologna logo

Empoli
0 - 3
Bologna

FT(HT: 0-2)
Orsolini (23'), Dallinga (29', 51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia semi-final first leg between Empoli and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Como 1-1 Empoli
Saturday, March 29 at 2pm in Serie A

Bologna

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Venezia 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, March 29 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 62.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.16%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawBologna
13.46% (-2.111 -2.11)23.84% (-0.663 -0.66)62.7% (2.776 2.78)
Both teams to score 37.11% (-2.746 -2.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.57% (-1.047 -1.05)60.43% (1.049 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.44% (-0.799 -0.8)80.56% (0.8 0.8)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.88% (-3.789 -3.79)54.12% (3.791 3.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.65% (-2.461 -2.46)87.35% (2.464 2.46)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.89% (0.64500000000001 0.65)19.11% (-0.642 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.27% (1.055 1.06)50.73% (-1.053 -1.05)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 13.46%
    Bologna 62.69%
    Draw 23.83%
EmpoliDrawBologna
1-0 @ 6.35% (-0.476 -0.48)
2-1 @ 3.23% (-0.575 -0.58)
2-0 @ 1.95% (-0.393 -0.39)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 13.46%
1-1 @ 10.5% (-0.56 -0.56)
0-0 @ 10.34% (0.399 0.4)
2-2 @ 2.67% (-0.412 -0.41)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 17.11% (0.99 0.99)
0-2 @ 14.16% (1.09 1.09)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.281 -0.28)
0-3 @ 7.82% (0.745 0.75)
1-3 @ 4.8% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-4 @ 3.23% (0.367 0.37)
1-4 @ 1.99% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-5 @ 1.07% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 62.69%

How you voted: Empoli vs Bologna

Empoli
18.0%
Draw
15.7%
Bologna
66.3%
89
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Empoli
1-1
Bologna
Colombo (24')
Henderson (36'), Grassi (40'), Pezzella (78')
Dominguez (44')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bologna
1-1
Empoli
Fabbian (2')
Gyasi (3')
Pezzella (55'), Henderson (90+4'), Vasquez (90+5')
> Preview
Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Empoli
0-1
Bologna

Luperto (28'), Pezzella (30'), Maleh (90+6')
Fabbian (90+4')
Freuler (90+7')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 7
Bologna
3-0
Empoli
Orsolini (21', 66', 90+2')
Corazza (44'), El Azzouzi (58')

Cacace (10'), Walukiewicz (39'), Ranocchia (45+3'), Cancellieri (81')
> Preview
May 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Empoli
3-1
Bologna
Lucumi (1' og.), Akpa-Akpro (45+1'), Cambiaghi (68')
Orsolini (88' pen.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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