Coppa Italia
Apr 23, 2025 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 71' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Jovic 36'
  • goal Luka Jovic 50'
  • goal Tijjani Reijnders 85'

Inter Milan vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last game
Apr 2, 2025 8.00pm
AC Milan 1 - 1 Inter Milan

AC Milan

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last game
Apr 2, 2025 8.00pm
AC Milan 1 - 1 Inter Milan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result

Inter Milan 47.88% (+0.36)
Draw 23.7% (-0.09)
AC Milan 28.41% (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.04% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.43% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 42.57% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 35.03% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 64.97% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 18.29% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 81.71% (-0.18)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 82.04% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 17.96% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 51.2% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 48.8% (-0.40)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 71.97% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 28.03% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 36.31% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 63.69% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 47.88%
Draw 23.7%
AC Milan 28.41%
Inter Milan
2-1 @ 9.44% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.65% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.42% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.4% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.25% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.44% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.32% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.82% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.48% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 47.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.04% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.46% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.7%
AC Milan
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.4% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 28.41%

Head to Head

Coppa Italia
Apr 2, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Theo Hernandez 19' yellowcard
  • Tammy Abraham 47' goal
  • Tijjani Reijnders 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francesco Acerbi 53'
  • yellowcard Yann Aurel Bisseck 58'
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 67'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Tijjani Reijnders 45' goal
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 53'
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 61'
  • goal Stefan de Vrij 90'+3'
Supercoppa Italiana
Jan 6, 2025 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT King Saud University Stadium
  • Lautaro Martinez 45'+1' goal
  • Mehdi Taremi 47' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 51' yellowcard
  • Denzel Dumfries 54' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Barella 72' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Bastoni 89' yellowcard
  • goal Theo Hernandez 52'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 57'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 80'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 19' yellowcard
  • Federico Dimarco 28' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 40' yellowcard
  • Simone Inzaghi 68' yellowcard
  • Kristjan Asllani 86' yellowcard
  • Federico Dimarco 88' yellowcard
  • goal Christian Pulisic 10'
  • yellowcard Youssouf Fofana 38'
  • goal Matteo Gabbia 89'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 22, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Theo Hernandez 36' yellowcard
  • Fikayo Tomori 80' goal
  • Matteo Gabbia 90' yellowcard
  • Fikayo Tomori 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 90'+3' redcard
  • Davide Calabria 90'+7' redcard
  • goal Francesco Acerbi 18'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Barella 22'
  • yellowcard Simone Inzaghi 23'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Martinez 32'
  • goal Marcus Thuram 49'
  • redcard Denzel Dumfries 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 5.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 5' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 5' goal
  • Marcus Thuram 38' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 69' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 72' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 79' goal
  • Davide Frattesi 90'+3' goal
  • Davide Frattesi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 24'
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 24'
  • goal Rafael Leao 57'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 61'