Champions League
Apr 16, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Lautaro Martinez 58' goal
  • Benjamin Pavard 61' goal
  • Marko Arnautovic 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kim Min-jae 28'
  • yellowcard Eric Dier 45'+1'
  • goal Harry Kane 52'
  • goal Eric Dier 76'

Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 8, 2025 8.00pm
Bayern 1 - 2 Inter Milan

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 8, 2025 8.00pm
Bayern 1 - 2 Inter Milan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 37.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Inter Milan 38.57% (-1.51)
Draw 23.84% (+0.13)
Bayern Munich 37.59% (+1.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.09% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.93% (-0.51)
Under 2.5 40.07% (+0.51)
Over 3.5 37.56% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 62.44% (+0.54)
Over 4.5 20.21% (-0.42)
Under 4.5 79.79% (+0.42)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 79.03% (-0.93)
Under 0.5 20.97% (+0.93)
Over 1.5 46.28% (-1.48)
Under 1.5 53.72% (+1.48)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 78.56% (+0.48)
Under 0.5 21.44% (-0.48)
Over 1.5 45.54% (+0.73)
Under 1.5 54.46% (-0.72)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 38.57%
Draw 23.84%
Bayern Munich 37.59%
Inter Milan
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.17)
1-0 @ 7.02% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.49% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.22)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 2.86% (-0.19)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.14)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.11)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 38.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.81% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.5% (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.84%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 8.33% (+0.20)
0-1 @ 6.92% (+0.26)
0-2 @ 5.33% (+0.28)
1-3 @ 4.27% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 3.34% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.74% (+0.18)
1-4 @ 1.65% (+0.09)
2-4 @ 1.29% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-96.15)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 37.59%

Head to Head

Champions League
Apr 8, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Arena
  • Kim Min-jae 28' yellowcard
  • Thomas Muller 85' goal
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 38'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Martinez 53'
  • yellowcard Henrikh Mkhitaryan 71'
  • goal Davide Frattesi 88'
  • yellowcard Davide Frattesi 89'
  • yellowcard Nicola Zalewski 90'+4'
Champions League
Nov 1, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Benjamin Pavard 32' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 72' goal
Champions League
Sep 7, 2022 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • goal Leroy Sane 25'
  • goal Danilo D'Ambrosio 66' (OG)
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 27, 2017 12.35pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Singapore National Stadium
  • Felix Gotze 59' yellowcard
  • goal Eder 8'
  • goal Eder 30'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 30, 2016 10.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 4
FT Bank of America Stadium
  • Mauro Icardi 90' goal
  • goal Julian Green 7'
  • goal Franck Ribery 13'
  • yellowcard Franck Ribery 26'
  • goal Julian Green 30'
  • goal Julian Green 35'

Build-up

Predicted Lineups