Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 27

Mar 29, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
3 - 2
St Pauli

Kane (17'), Sane (53', 71')
Guerreiro (13'), Olise (45+3'), Palhinha (51')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Saad (27'), Ritzka (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 Bayern
Saturday, March 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Pauli

All competitions

Last Game: St Pauli 1-0 Hoffenheim
Friday, March 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.9%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 8.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for a St Pauli win it was 1-2 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	St Pauli
78.9% ( 0.34)	12.86% ( -0.08)	8.24% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 55.31% (

-1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.2% (

-0.67)

26.8% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.76% (

-0.85)

47.24% (

0.84)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.64% (

-0.08)

5.35% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.97% (

-0.22)

21.03% (

0.22)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.44% (

-1.13)

41.56% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.95% (

-1.01)

78.05% (

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 78.9%

St Pauli 8.24%

Draw 12.86%

Bayern Munich	Draw	St Pauli
2-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.07) Other @ 5.34% Total : 78.9%	1-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.19% Total : 12.86%	1-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.7% Total : 8.24%