Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Bayern
Mar 29, 2025 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Arena
St Pauli
  • Raphael Guerreiro 13' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 17' goal
  • Michael Olise 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Joao Palhinha 51' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 53' goal
  • Leroy Sane 71' goal
  • goal Elias Saad 27'
  • goal Lars Ritzka 90'+3'

Bayern Munich vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 2.30pm
Union Berlin 1 - 1 Bayern
Goals scored
99
Top scorer
Harry Kane

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2025 7.30pm
St Pauli 1 - 0 Hoffenheim
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Morgan Guilavogui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.9%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 8.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for a St Pauli win it was 1-2 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Bayern Munich 78.9% ▲ (+0.35)
Draw 12.86% ▼ (-0.08)
St Pauli 8.24% ▼ (-0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.31% ▼ (-1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 73.2% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 2.5 26.8% ▲ (+0.67)
Over 3.5 52.76% ▼ (-0.85)
Under 3.5 47.24% ▲ (+0.85)
Over 4.5 33.32% ▼ (-0.82)
Under 4.5 66.68% ▲ (+0.81)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 94.64% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 5.35% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 78.97% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 1.5 21.03% ▲ (+0.22)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 58.44% ▼ (-1.13)
Under 0.5 41.56% ▲ (+1.12)
Over 1.5 21.95% ▼ (-1.01)
Under 1.5 78.05% ▲ (+1.00)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 78.9%
Draw 12.86%
St Pauli 8.24%
Bayern Munich
2-0 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.30)
3-0 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.25)
2-1 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.15)
1-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.24)
4-1 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.13)
5-1 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.11)
6-0 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.03)
6-1 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.04)
5-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 5.34%
Total : 78.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 12.86%
St Pauli
1-2 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.07)
0-1 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 8.24%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 10
St Pauli
Nov 9, 2024 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Millerntor-Stadion
Bayern
  • Morgan Guilavogui 64' yellowcard
  • Alexander Blessin 65' yellowcard
  • Manolis Saliakas 66' yellowcard
  • goal Jamal Musiala 22'
  • yellowcard Kim Min-jae 66'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 90'+2'

Form Data

Union Berlin 1 - 1 Bayern
B. Leverkusen 0 - 2 Bayern
Bayern 2 - 3 VfL Bochum
Bayern 3 - 0 B. Leverkusen
Stuttgart 1 - 3 Bayern
Bayern 4 - 0 Frankfurt
St Pauli 1 - 0 Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg 1 - 1 St Pauli
St Pauli 0 - 2 Dortmund
Mainz 2 - 0 St Pauli
St Pauli 0 - 1 Freiburg
RB Leipzig 2 - 0 St Pauli