Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 15, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
0 - 0
Bayern

Hincapie (11'), Tapsoba (90+4')

Ito (39'), Pavlovic (53'), Upamecano (74')

The Match

Match Report

Vincent Kompany's Bayern Munich stayed in control of the Bundesliga title race after holding out against Xabi Alonso's Bayer Leverkusen in a crucial six pointer.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-0 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Celtic 1-2 Bayern
Wednesday, February 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 38.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Bayern Munich
38.59% ( 0.05)	23.25% ( -0.01)	38.15% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 64.37% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.88% (

0.04)

37.11% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.69% (

0.05)

59.31% (

-0.05)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

0.04)

19.67% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.35% (

0.07)

51.65% (

-0.07)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.13% (

19.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.02% (

-0)

51.98% (

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 38.59%

Bayern Munich 38.15%

Draw 23.24%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.17% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 38.59%	1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.24%	1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 38.15%