Leverkusen logo
DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 5, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
BayArena
Koln logo

B. Leverkusen
3 - 2
FC Koln

Schick (61', 90+6'), Boniface (98')
Xhaka (70'), Wirtz (104'), Garcia (119')
FT
(aet)
Downs (45+10'), Maina (54')
Heintz (19'), Hubers (64'), (90+5'), Thielmann (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Bayer Leverkusen and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, February 2 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

FC Koln

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Braunschweig 1-2 FC Koln
Saturday, February 1 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 62.72%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 17.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (4.81%).

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFC Koln
62.72% (-1.658 -1.66)19.84% (0.66 0.66)17.44% (0.996 1)
Both teams to score 57.7% (-0.206 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.46% (-1.285 -1.29)37.54% (1.283 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.23% (-1.392 -1.39)59.77% (1.39 1.39)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.55% (-0.804 -0.8)11.45% (0.803 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.74% (-1.774 -1.77)36.26% (1.772 1.77)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.16% (0.35499999999999 0.35)34.84% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.43% (0.373 0.37)71.57% (-0.375 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 62.72%
    FC Koln 17.44%
    Draw 19.84%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.37% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.64% (0.253 0.25)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-0 @ 6.77% (-0.252 -0.25)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.67% (-0.264 -0.26)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.105 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.68% (-0.163 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.59% (-0.172 -0.17)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 62.72%
1-1 @ 9.12% (0.352 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.083 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.99% (0.242 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 19.84%
1-2 @ 4.81% (0.23 0.23)
0-1 @ 4.21% (0.294 0.29)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.175 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 17.44%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs FC Koln

Bayer Leverkusen
88.2%
Draw
8.8%
FC Koln
2.9%
102
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
FC Koln
0-2
B. Leverkusen

Ljubicic (16'), Martel (30')
Thielmann (14')
Frimpong (37'), Grimaldo (73')
Frimpong (23'), Stanisic (59')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
B. Leverkusen
3-0
FC Koln
Hofmann (22'), Frimpong (32'), Okoh Boniface (67')
Frimpong (23'), Tapsoba (45+3'), Tah (61'), Alonso (66')

Baumgart (24')
> Preview
May 5, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 31
B. Leverkusen
1-2
FC Koln
Adli (28')
Selke (14', 36')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
FC Koln
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Schmitz (30')
Amiri (65'), Diaby (71')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
B. Leverkusen
0-1
FC Koln

Palacios (45+1'), Demirbay (90+2')
Schindler (67')
Skhiri (52'), Schmitz (65')
> Preview