Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Bayern
Feb 1, 2025 2.30pm
4
3
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
Holstein Kiel
  • Jamal Musiala 19' goal
  • Harry Kane 46' goal
  • Harry Kane 45'+3' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 54' goal
  • Konrad Laimer 78' yellowcard
  • goal Finn-Dominik Porath 62'
  • yellowcard David Zec 81'
  • goal Steven Skrzybski 90'+1'
  • goal Steven Skrzybski 90'+3'

Bayern Munich vs Holstein Kiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2025 2.30pm
Freiburg 1 - 2 Bayern
Goals scored
99
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2025 7.30pm
Wolfsburg 2 - 2 Holstein Kiel
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Shuto Machino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 86.48%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 4.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.77%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (1.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Bayern Munich 86.48% ▲ (+0.27)
Draw 8.75% ▼ (-0.13)
Holstein Kiel 4.76% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.52% ▼ (-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5 80.44% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 19.55% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 62.54% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 37.46% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 43.23% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 4.5 56.76% ▲ (+0.12)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 97.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 2.98% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 86.54% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 13.46% ▼ (-0.08)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 55.17% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 0.5 44.83% ▲ (+0.60)
Over 1.5 19.2% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 1.5 80.8% ▲ (+0.48)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 86.48%
Draw 8.75%
Holstein Kiel 4.76%
Bayern Munich
3-0 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.12)
4-0 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.10)
5-1 @ 4.78%
1-0 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.04)
6-0 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.07)
6-1 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.06)
5-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.04)
7-0 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.04)
7-1 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
6-2 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.19%
Total : 86.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 8.75%
Holstein Kiel
1-2 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 4.76%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Holstein Kiel
Sep 14, 2024 5.30pm
1
6
HT : 0 4
FT Holstein-Stadion
Bayern
  • Armin Gigovic 82' goal
  • Marcel Rapp 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jamal Musiala 1'
  • goal Harry Kane 7'
  • goal Nicolai Remberg 13' (OG)
  • goal Harry Kane 43'
  • goal Michael Olise 65'
  • yellowcard Joao Palhinha 81'
  • goal Harry Kane 90'+1'
DFB-Pokal
Holstein Kiel
Jan 13, 2021 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
ET Holstein-Stadion
Bayern
  • Fin Bartels 37' goal
  • Jonas Meffert 45' yellowcard
  • Hauke Wahl 90'+5' goal
  • goal Serge Gnabry 14'
  • goal Leroy Sane 47'
  • yellowcard Niklas Sule 61'

Form Data

Bayern 3 - 1 Slovan Bratislava
Freiburg 1 - 2 Bayern
Feyenoord 3 - 0 Bayern
Bayern 3 - 2 Wolfsburg
Bayern 5 - 0 Hoffenheim
Borussia M'bach 0 - 1 Bayern
Wolfsburg 2 - 2 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 1 - 3 Hoffenheim
Holstein Kiel 4 - 2 Dortmund
Freiburg 3 - 2 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 5 - 1 Augsburg
Borussia M'bach 4 - 1 Holstein Kiel