Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 13.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.