Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Union Berlin
Mar 2, 2025 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Holstein Kiel
  • Tom Rothe 40' yellowcard
  • Marin Ljubicic 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Kevin Volland 77' yellowcard
  • Josip Juranovic 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Armin Gigovic 42'

Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 5.30pm
Dortmund 6 - 0 Union Berlin
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Benedict Hollerbach

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 2.30pm
Holstein Kiel 0 - 2 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Shuto Machino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Union Berlin 52.94% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 23.03% ▲ (+0.14)
Holstein Kiel 24.03% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.17% ▼ (-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.84% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 2.5 43.15% ▲ (+0.53)
Over 3.5 34.45% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 3.5 65.55% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 4.5 17.85% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 4.5 82.15% ▲ (+0.39)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 83.7% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 0.5 16.3% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 1.5 54.13% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 1.5 45.87% ▲ (+0.49)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 68.3% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 0.5 31.7% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 1.5 31.88% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 68.12% ▲ (+0.25)

Score analysis

Union Berlin 52.94%
Draw 23.02%
Holstein Kiel 24.03%
Union Berlin
2-1 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 52.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.02%
Holstein Kiel
1-2 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 24.03%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Holstein Kiel
Oct 20, 2024 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Holstein-Stadion
Union Berlin
  • Marco Komenda 66' yellowcard
  • Nicolai Remberg 79' yellowcard
  • goal Aljoscha Kemlein 18'
  • yellowcard Frederik Ronnow 73'
  • goal Tom Rothe 89'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Holstein Kiel
Mar 1, 2019 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)
Union Berlin
  • Johannes van den Bergh 77' yellowcard
  • Jannik Dehm 80' yellowcard
  • Alexander Muhling 84' yellowcard
  • goal Felix Kroos 27'
  • yellowcard Christopher Trimmel 55'
  • yellowcard Manuel Schmiedebach 70'
  • yellowcard Joshua Mees 83'
  • goal Sebastian Andersson 90'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Union Berlin
Sep 25, 2018 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)
Holstein Kiel
  • Christopher Lenz 67' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Polter 90' goal
  • Grischa Promel 90' goal
  • yellowcard Hauke Wahl 57'
2.Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
Jan 23, 2018 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)
Union Berlin
  • Tom Weilandt 7' yellowcard
  • Tom Weilandt 9' goal
  • Dominick Drexler 19' goal
  • Steven Lewerenz 71' yellowcard
  • David Kinsombi 84' redcard
  • yellowcard Marcel Hartel 22'
  • goal Steven Skrzybski 32'
  • yellowcard Felix Kroos 71'
  • goal Sebastian Polter 85'
2.Bundesliga
Union Berlin
Aug 4, 2017 5.30pm
4
3
HT : 3 3
FT
Holstein Kiel
  • Damir Kreilach 14' goal
  • Steven Skrzybski 24' goal
  • Simon Hedlund 27' goal
  • Steven Skrzybski 52' goal
  • Felix Kroos 56' yellowcard
  • Christopher Trimmel 81' yellowcard
  • goal Kingsley Schindler 12'
  • goal Kristian Pedersen 16' (OG)
  • goal Dominick Drexler 32'
  • yellowcard Alexander Muhling 55'
  • yellowcard Christopher Lenz 64'

Form Data

Dortmund 6 - 0 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 1 - 2 Borussia M'bach
Hoffenheim 0 - 4 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 0 - 0 RB Leipzig
St Pauli 3 - 0 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 2 - 1 Mainz
Holstein Kiel 0 - 2 B. Leverkusen
Frankfurt 3 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 2 - 2 VfL Bochum
Bayern 4 - 3 Holstein Kiel
Wolfsburg 2 - 2 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 1 - 3 Hoffenheim