Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Mar 2, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Union Berlin
0 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Rothe (40'), Ljubicic (45+2'), Volland (77'), Juranovic (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gigovic (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Dortmund 6-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, February 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, February 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Holstein Kiel
52.94% ( -0.22)	23.03% ( 0.13)	24.03% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 57.17% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.84% (

-0.53)

43.15% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.45% (

-0.52)

65.55% (

0.52)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.7% (

-0.27)

16.3% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.13% (

-0.49)

45.87% (

0.48)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.3% (

-0.22)

31.7% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.88% (

-0.25)

68.12% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 52.94%

Holstein Kiel 24.03%

Draw 23.02%

Union Berlin	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.34% Total : 52.94%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.02%	1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 24.03%