Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 37.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.29%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.