Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 1-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.