Champions League
Mar 5, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Harry Kane 9' goal
  • Konrad Laimer 39' yellowcard
  • Leon Goretzka 50' yellowcard
  • Jamal Musiala 54' goal
  • Harry Kane 75' goal
  • yellowcard Nordi Mukiele 39'
  • redcard Nordi Mukiele 62'
  • yellowcard Edmond Tapsoba 73'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 74'

Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 1-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Bayern Munich 61.48% (+0.39)
Draw 20.28% (-0.10)
Bayer Leverkusen 18.23% (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.74% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.76% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 38.24% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 39.48% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 60.51% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 21.73% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 78.27% (+0.03)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 88% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 11.99% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 62.56% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 37.43% (-0.21)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 65.61% (-0.34)
Under 0.5 34.38% (+0.34)
Over 1.5 28.9% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 71.09% (+0.36)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 61.48%
Draw 20.28%
Bayer Leverkusen 18.23%
Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 9.9% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.27% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 8.75% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 7% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.56% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.71% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.48% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.57% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.47% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 61.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.34% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.12% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.28%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 4.4% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 18.23%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena
  • Piero Hincapie 11' yellowcard
  • Edmond Tapsoba 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hiroki Ito 39'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Pavlovic 53'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 74'
DFB-Pokal
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Dayot Upamecano 13' yellowcard
  • Manuel Neuer 17' redcard
  • Leon Goretzka 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edmond Tapsoba 13'
  • yellowcard Florian Wirtz 22'
  • goal Nathan Tella 69'
  • yellowcard Matej Kovar 78'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Arena
  • Dayot Upamecano 23' yellowcard
  • Aleksandar Pavlovic 39' goal
  • yellowcard Xabi Alonso 23'
  • goal Robert Andrich 31'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 32'
  • yellowcard Florian Wirtz 57'
  • yellowcard Alex Grimaldo 71'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
  • Josip Stanisic 18' goal
  • Alex Grimaldo 50' goal
  • Edmond Tapsoba 64' yellowcard
  • Amine Adli 77' yellowcard
  • Lukas Hradecky 83' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Frimpong 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Sacha Boey 36'
  • yellowcard Leon Goretzka 62'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2023 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Arena
  • Harry Kane 7' goal
  • Thomas Tuchel 25' yellowcard
  • Leon Goretzka 86' goal
  • goal Alex Grimaldo 24'
  • yellowcard Jonas Hofmann 34'
  • yellowcard Florian Wirtz 47'
  • yellowcard Edmond Tapsoba 69'
  • goal Exequiel Palacios 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 19, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Exequiel Palacios 55' goal
  • Exequiel Palacios 73' goal
  • goal Joshua Kimmich 22'