Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Mar 14, 2025 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Noah Weisshaupt 51' goal
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 55'

St Pauli vs Hoffenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 2.30pm
Wolfsburg 1 - 1 St Pauli
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Morgan Guilavogui

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 4.30pm
Hoffenheim 1 - 1 Heidenheim
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Andrej Kramaric

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Pauli in this match.

Result

St Pauli 43.68% (-0.02)
Draw 25.06% (-0.01)
Hoffenheim 31.26% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.12% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.83% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 47.17% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 30.59% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 69.4% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 15.08% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 84.91% (-0.01)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 78.39%
Under 0.5 21.6%
Over 1.5 45.29% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.7% (+0.01)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 71.58% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 28.42% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 35.83% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 64.17% (-0.02)

Score analysis

St Pauli 43.68%
Draw 25.06%
Hoffenheim 31.26%
St Pauli
1-0 @ 9.41% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 43.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.71% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.06%
Hoffenheim
0-1 @ 7.72%
1-2 @ 7.45% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.86% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 31.26%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Nov 2, 2024 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT DnB NOR Arena
  • goal Oladapo Afolayan 20'
  • yellowcard Morgan Guilavogui 64'
  • yellowcard Alexander Blessin 70'
  • goal Andreas Albers 90'+4'