Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 26

Mar 14, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
1 - 0
Hoffenheim

Weisshaupt (51')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stach (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions

Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 St Pauli
Saturday, March 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 Heidenheim
Sunday, March 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Pauli in this match.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Hoffenheim
43.68% ( -0.01)	25.06% ( -0)	31.26% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.12% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.83% (

0.01)

47.17% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.59% (

0.01)

69.4% (

-0.01)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.39%

21.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.29% (

-0)

54.7% (

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.58% (

0.01)

28.42% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.83% (

0.02)

64.17% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 43.68%

Hoffenheim 31.26%

Draw 25.06%

St Pauli	Draw	Hoffenheim
1-0 @ 9.41% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.47% Total : 43.68%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 7.72% 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.26%