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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | St Pauli |
| 45% ( | 24.98% ( | 30.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.63% ( | 47.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.41% ( | 69.59% ( |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( | 21.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.09% ( | 53.91% ( |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.64% ( | 29.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.66% ( | 65.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | St Pauli |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 4-2 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 45% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 3-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0-2 @ 4.65% ( 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.02% |