Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 12, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
2 - 2
Dortmund

Guerreiro (65'), Gnabry (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Beier (48'), Anton (75')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 1-2 Inter Milan
Tuesday, April 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Barcelona 4-0 Dortmund
Wednesday, April 9 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.97%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 14.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.15%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
69.97% ( 0)	15.74%	14.28% ( -0)

Both teams to score 66.42% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.5% (

23.5% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

57.07% (

42.93% (

-0)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.87% (

6.13% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.75% (

23.25% (

-0)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.75%

29.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.8% (

65.2% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 69.97%

Borussia Dortmund 14.29%

Draw 15.74%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0) 3-1 @ 8% 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-0 @ 6.5% 4-1 @ 5.58% 1-0 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 4.92% 4-0 @ 4.54% 4-2 @ 3.43% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.12% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.53% 5-2 @ 1.92% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.45% 4-3 @ 1.41% 6-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 4.83% Total : 69.97%	1-1 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 2.01% 0-0 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.5% Total : 15.74%	1-2 @ 3.78% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.55% 0-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.23% Total : 14.29%