Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Raphael Guerreiro 65' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 69' goal
  • goal Maximilian Beier 48'
  • goal Waldemar Anton 75'

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2025 7.30pm
Augsburg 1 - 3 Bayern
Goals scored
99
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 2.30pm
Freiburg 1 - 4 Dortmund
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.97%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 14.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.15%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result

Bayern Munich 69.97% (+0.01)
Draw 15.74%
Borussia Dortmund 14.28% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.42% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 76.5% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 23.5% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 57.07% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 42.93% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 37.53% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 62.46% (-0.01)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 93.87% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 6.13% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 76.75% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 23.25% (-0.01)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 70.75%
Under 0.5 29.24%
Over 1.5 34.8% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.2% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 69.97%
Draw 15.74%
Borussia Dortmund 14.29%
Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 8%
2-0 @ 6.99%
3-0 @ 6.5%
4-1 @ 5.58%
1-0 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 4.92%
4-0 @ 4.54%
4-2 @ 3.43% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 3.12% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.53%
5-2 @ 1.92% (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.45%
4-3 @ 1.41%
6-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 69.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.15%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 2.01%
0-0 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 15.74%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 3.78% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.55%
0-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 14.29%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 27' goal
  • Julian Ryerson 71' yellowcard
  • Nuri Sahin 80' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Beier 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Jamal Musiala 85'
  • yellowcard Leroy Sane 88'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 90'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Arena
  • goal Karim Adeyemi 10'
  • goal Julian Ryerson 83'
Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2023 5.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Mats Hummels 61' yellowcard
  • Julian Ryerson 74' yellowcard
  • Marcel Sabitzer 76' yellowcard
  • goal Dayot Upamecano 4'
  • goal Harry Kane 9'
  • yellowcard Leroy Sane 22'
  • yellowcard Thomas Tuchel 42'
  • goal Harry Kane 72'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 85'
  • goal Harry Kane 90'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Gregor Kobel 13' goal
  • Thomas Muller 18' goal
  • Thomas Muller 23' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 50' goal
  • goal Emre Can 72'
  • goal Donyell Malen 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Youssoufa Moukoko 74' goal
  • Anthony Modeste 90'+5' goal
  • goal Leon Goretzka 33'
  • goal Leroy Sane 53'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Apr 23, 2022 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Serge Gnabry 15' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 34' goal
  • Jamal Musiala 83' goal
  • Julian Nagelsmann 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emre Can 40'
  • yellowcard Marco Rose 41'
  • goal Emre Can 52'