Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 5, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 4
Dortmund

Eggestein (88')
Ginter (65')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Adeyemi (34'), Chukwuemeka (51'), Guirassy (68'), Bynoe-Gittens (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 1-2 Union Berlin
Sunday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 3-1 Mainz
Sunday, March 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Freiburg has a probability of 32.74% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Freiburg win is 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.35%).

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
32.74% ( -0.25)	23.2% ( -0.33)	44.06% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 63.39% (

1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.08% (

1.52)

37.92% (

-1.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.82% (

1.61)

60.18% (

-1.6)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.98% (

0.58)

23.02% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.16% (

0.85)

56.83% (

-0.84)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.35% (

0.85)

17.65% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.74% (

1.46)

48.26% (

-1.45)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 32.74%

Borussia Dortmund 44.06%

Draw 23.2%

Freiburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.14% Total : 32.74%	1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.2%	1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.19% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.95% Total : 44.06%