Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 27

Mar 30, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 2
Union Berlin

Holer (29')
Ginter (76'), Manzambi (89'), Dinkci (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Khedira (30'), Ilic (48')
Khedira (68'), Ilic (81'), Schafer (88'), Juranovic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 2-2 Freiburg
Saturday, March 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 Bayern
Saturday, March 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Union Berlin
49.54% ( 0.4)	24.12% ( -0.1)	26.33% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 55.88% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.04% (

0.19)

45.95% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.74% (

0.18)

68.26% (

-0.18)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.38% (

0.23)

18.61% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.09% (

0.39)

49.91% (

-0.39)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.66% (

-0.14)

31.33% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.3% (

-0.16)

67.69% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 49.54%

Union Berlin 26.33%

Draw 24.12%

Freiburg	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.33% Total : 49.54%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.12%	0-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.81% Total : 26.33%