/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmailog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ffreilog.png)
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Phillipp Mwene
28'
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Jonathan Burkardt
34'
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Dominik Kohr
43'
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Andreas Hanche-Olsen
74'
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Chukwubuike Adamu
2'
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Michael Gregoritsch
58'
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Lukas Kubler
79'
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Lucas Holer
87'
Mainz 05 vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Mainz 05
49.94%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
26.42%
Freiburg
23.64%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
46.38%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.83%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
57.17%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
21.97%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
78.03%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
9.49%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
90.51%
▲
(+0.01)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
77.02%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
22.98%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
43.23%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
56.77%
▲
(+0.01)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5
60.22%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
39.78%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
23.55%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
76.45%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Mainz 05
49.94%
Draw
26.42%
Freiburg
23.64%
Mainz 05
1-0
@
13.44%
2-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.85%
3-1 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 49.94%
2-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.85%
3-1 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 49.94%
Draw
1-1
@
12.39%
0-0 @ 9.14% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.42%
0-0 @ 9.14% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.42%
Freiburg
0-1
@
8.43%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.71%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1.29%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 23.64%
1-2 @ 5.71%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1.29%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 23.64%