Bundesliga Gameweek 24
RB Leipzig
Mar 1, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Mainz
  • Xavi Simons 1' goal
  • Amadou Haidara 52' yellowcard
  • goal Nadiem Amiri 52'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 58'
  • yellowcard Lennard Maloney 88'

RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2025 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 2 - 2 Heidenheim
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Benjamin Sesko

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 2.30pm
Mainz 2 - 0 St Pauli
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Jonathan Burkardt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw has a probability of 22.9% and a win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Mainz 05 win it is 0-1 (5.95%).

Result

RB Leipzig 55.2% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 22.93% ▲ (+0.18)
Mainz 05 21.88% ▼ (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.75% ▼ (-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.93% ▼ (-1.07)
Under 2.5 45.07% ▲ (+1.08)
Over 3.5 32.59% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 3.5 67.41% ▲ (+1.04)
Over 4.5 16.49% ▼ (-0.76)
Under 4.5 83.5% ▲ (+0.76)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 83.81% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 0.5 16.19% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 1.5 54.32% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 1.5 45.68% ▲ (+0.66)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 65.33% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 0.5 34.67% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 1.5 28.6% ▼ (-0.89)
Under 1.5 71.4% ▲ (+0.89)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 55.19%
Draw 22.92%
Mainz 05 21.88%
RB Leipzig
1-0 @ 10.22% ▲ (+0.35)
2-1 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.21)
3-1 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 55.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.26)
2-2 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.92%
Mainz 05
0-1 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.15)
1-2 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 21.88%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Mainz
Oct 19, 2024 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Mewa Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Paul Nebel 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Xavi Simons 20'
  • goal Willi Orban 37'
  • yellowcard Amadou Haidara 53'
  • yellowcard Arthur Vermeeren 60'
  • yellowcard Eljif Elmas 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 27
RB Leipzig
Mar 30, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Mainz
  • Castello Lukeba 67' yellowcard
  • Xavi Simons 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Caci 20'
  • yellowcard Phillipp Mwene 27'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 34'
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 70'
  • yellowcard Andreas Hanche-Olsen 79'
Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Mainz
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT OPEL ARENA
RB Leipzig
  • Anthony Caci 39' yellowcard
  • Lee Jae-sung 76' goal
  • Leandro Barreiro 80' goal
  • Aymen Barkok 88' yellowcard
  • Sepp van den Berg 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lukas Klostermann 51'
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
RB Leipzig
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Mainz
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 9'
  • goal Ludovic Ajorque 57'
  • goal Dominik Kohr 67'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Mainz
Oct 8, 2022 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 45' goal
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 80'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Mainz
  • Andre Silva 21' goal
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 47' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 58' goal
  • Andre Silva 61' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 16'
  • redcard Alexander Hack 19'
  • goal Lee Jae-sung 57'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 59'

Form Data

RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig 2 - 2 Heidenheim
Augsburg 0 - 0 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 2 - 0 St Pauli
Union Berlin 0 - 0 RB Leipzig
Sturm Graz 1 - 0 RB Leipzig
Mainz 2 - 0 St Pauli
Heidenheim 0 - 2 Mainz
Mainz 0 - 0 Augsburg
Werder Bremen 1 - 0 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 0 Stuttgart
Union Berlin 2 - 1 Mainz