Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Mar 1, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
1 - 2
Mainz

Simons (1')
Haidara (52')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Amiri (52'), Burkardt (58')
Maloney (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-0 Wolfsburg
Wednesday, February 26 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 2-0 St Pauli
Saturday, February 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw has a probability of 22.9% and a win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Mainz 05 win it is 0-1 (5.95%).

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Mainz 05
55.2% ( 0.04)	22.93% ( 0.19)	21.88% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 54.75% (

-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.93% (

-1.09)

45.07% (

1.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.59% (

-1.06)

67.41% (

1.06)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.81% (

-0.37)

16.19% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.32% (

-0.68)

45.68% (

0.68)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.33% (

-0.82)

34.67% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.6% (

-0.88)

71.4% (

0.88)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 55.19%

Mainz 05 21.88%

Draw 22.92%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 55.19%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.92%	0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 21.88%