Bundesliga
Gameweek
23
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ffreilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwerlog.png)
-
Kiliann Sildillia
15'
-
Maximilian Eggestein
21'
-
Vincenzo Grifo
33'
-
Matthias Ginter
34'
-
Vincenzo Grifo
57'
-
Merlin Rohl
62'
-
Ritsu Doan
76'
-
Ritsu Doan
90'+2'
Freiburg vs Werder Bremen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F08%2Fole-werner.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 55.31%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result
Freiburg
55.31%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
21.76%
▼
(-0.02)
Werder Bremen
22.93%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
60.21%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.49%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
38.51%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
39.19%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
60.8%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
21.5%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
78.5%
▲
(+0.02)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5
86.1%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
13.89%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
58.68%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
41.31%
▼
(-0.04)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5
69.92%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
30.07%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
33.79%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
66.21%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Freiburg
55.31%
Draw
21.76%
Werder Bremen
22.93%
Freiburg
2-1
@
9.78%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.91%
5-1 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 55.31%
1-0 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.91%
5-1 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 55.31%
Draw
1-1
@
9.91%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.76%
2-2 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.76%
Werder Bremen
1-2
@
5.95%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 22.93%
0-1 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 22.93%
Head to Head
Bundesliga
Gameweek
6
-
Julian Malatini
90'+4'
-
Maximilian Eggestein
36'
-
Ritsu Doan
75'
-
Patrick Osterhage
83'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
19
-
Marvin Ducksch
9'
-
Niklas Stark
50'
-
Justin Njinmah
53'
-
Senne Lynen
89'
-
Julian Malatini
90'+3'
-
Vincenzo Grifo
28'
-
Christian Streich
89'
-
Michael Gregoritsch
90'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
2
-
Lukas Kubler
38'
-
Nicolas Hofler
45'
-
Maximilian Philipp
90'+6'
-
Romano Schmid
6'
-
Marco Friedl
55'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
28
-
Maximilian Philipp
46'
-
Roland Sallai
66'
-
Lucas Holer
71'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
11
-
Lukas Kubler
56'
-
Vincenzo Grifo
80'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
21
-
Nicolas Hofler
83'
-
Dominique Heintz
90'+1'