Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.