Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.