Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2025 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Xavi Simons 17' goal
  • Lois Openda 48' goal
  • David Raum 63' yellowcard
  • Amadou Haidara 86' yellowcard
  • Castello Lukeba 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emre Can 10'
  • yellowcard Julian Ryerson 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Carney Chukwuemeka 83'

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 5.30pm
Freiburg 0 - 0 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Benjamin Sesko

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 2.30pm
Dortmund 0 - 1 Augsburg
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

RB Leipzig 36.05% (-0.33)
Draw 23.28% (+0.17)
Borussia Dortmund 40.66% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.07% (-0.70)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.57% (-0.89)
Under 2.5 37.43% (+0.89)
Over 3.5 40.35% (-0.97)
Under 3.5 59.65% (+0.97)
Over 4.5 22.42% (-0.78)
Under 4.5 77.58% (+0.79)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 78.97% (-0.57)
Under 0.5 21.03% (+0.57)
Over 1.5 46.18% (-0.89)
Under 1.5 53.82% (+0.89)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 81.13% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 18.87% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 49.67% (-0.51)
Under 1.5 50.33% (+0.51)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 36.05%
Draw 23.27%
Borussia Dortmund 40.66%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.19% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 4.82% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 36.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 3.97% (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.27%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 8.6% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 6.62% (+0.22)
0-2 @ 5.52% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 4.78% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.73% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 3.07% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.56% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.28% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 40.66%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Nov 2, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Maximilian Beier 21' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Beier 30' goal
  • Ramy Bensebaini 34' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 65' goal
  • Ayman Azhil 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christoph Baumgartner 8'
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 27'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 35'
  • yellowcard Lutsharel Geertruida 40'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kampl 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2024 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
  • Lois Openda 23' goal
  • Mohamed Simakan 37' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Simakan 46' goal
  • Benjamin Sesko 45'+2' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 80' goal
  • goal Jadon Sancho 20'
  • yellowcard Jadon Sancho 37'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 76'
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Dec 9, 2023 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Mats Hummels 15' redcard
  • Niklas Sule 45'+6' goal
  • Salih Ozcan 60' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 90'+3' goal
  • goal Ramy Bensebaini 32' (OG)
  • yellowcard Mohamed Simakan 35'
  • goal Christoph Baumgartner 54'
  • yellowcard Xavi Simons 61'
  • yellowcard Lois Openda 66'
  • goal Yussuf Poulsen 90'+1'
DFB-Pokal
Apr 5, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Timo Werner 22' goal
  • Willi Orban 90'+8' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Mar 3, 2023 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Marco Reus 21' goal
  • Emre Can 39' goal
  • goal Emil Forsberg 74'
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Willi Orban 6' goal
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 45' goal
  • Amadou Haidara 84' goal