Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 26

Mar 15, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Dortmund

Simons (17'), Openda (48')
Raum (63'), Haidara (86'), Lukeba (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Can (10'), Ryerson (45+1'), Chukwuemeka (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, March 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Lille 1-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, March 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
36.05% ( -0.32)	23.28% ( 0.17)	40.66% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 64.07% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.57% (

-0.89)

37.43% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.35% (

-0.96)

59.65% (

0.96)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.97% (

-0.56)

21.03% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.18% (

-0.88)

53.82% (

0.88)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.13% (

-0.3)

18.87% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.67% (

-0.51)

50.33% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 36.05%

Borussia Dortmund 40.66%

Draw 23.27%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.05%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.27%	1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 40.66%