Champions League
Barcelona
Apr 9, 2025 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Dortmund
  • Raphinha 25' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 48' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 66' goal
  • Lamine Yamal 77' goal
  • yellowcard Karim Adeyemi 24'
  • yellowcard Serhou Guirassy 74'

Barcelona vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 57.24%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.98%) and 3-1 (6.94%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result

Barcelona 57.24%
Draw 20.13%
Borussia Dortmund 22.62%

Both Teams to Score: 

65.87%

Goals

Over 2.5 69.03%
Under 2.5 30.96%
Over 3.5 47.65%
Under 3.5 52.34%
Over 4.5 28.62%
Under 4.5 71.38%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 89.11%
Under 0.5 10.89%
Over 1.5 64.96%
Under 1.5 35.03%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 73.91%
Under 0.5 26.08%
Over 1.5 38.86%
Under 1.5 61.13%

Score analysis

Barcelona 57.24%
Draw 20.14%
Borussia Dortmund 22.62%
Barcelona
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 6.94%
1-0 @ 6.3%
3-0 @ 5.16%
3-2 @ 4.66%
4-1 @ 3.85%
4-0 @ 2.86%
4-2 @ 2.58%
5-1 @ 1.71%
5-0 @ 1.27%
4-3 @ 1.16%
5-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 57.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.46%
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 2.84%
3-3 @ 2.09%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 20.14%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 5.69%
0-1 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 2.83%
0-2 @ 2.56%
1-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 22.62%

Head to Head

Champions League
Dortmund
Dec 11, 2024 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
Barcelona
  • Marcel Sabitzer 42' yellowcard
  • Felix Nmecha 51' yellowcard
  • Yan Couto 57' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 60' goal
  • Ramy Bensebaini 61' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 78' goal
  • goal Raphinha 53'
  • yellowcard Pau Cubarsi 58'
  • goal Ferran Torres 75'
  • goal Ferran Torres 85'
  • yellowcard Ferran Torres 90'+2'
Champions League Gameweek 5
Barcelona
Nov 27, 2019 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Dortmund
  • Luis Suarez 29' goal
  • Lionel Messi 33' goal
  • Lionel Messi 51' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 67' goal
  • Sergio Busquets 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raphael Guerreiro 74'
  • goal Jadon Sancho 77'
Champions League
Dortmund
Sep 17, 2019 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Barcelona
  • Thomas Delaney 15' yellowcard
  • Thorgan Hazard 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gerard Pique 50'
  • yellowcard Nelson Semedo 55'
  • yellowcard Ivan Rakitic 70'

Form Data

Barcelona 1 - 1 Betis
Atletico 0 - 1 Barcelona
Barcelona 4 - 1 Girona
Barcelona 3 - 0 Osasuna
Atletico 2 - 4 Barcelona
Barcelona 3 - 1 Benfica
Freiburg 1 - 4 Dortmund
Dortmund 3 - 1 Mainz
RB Leipzig 2 - 0 Dortmund
Lille 1 - 2 Dortmund
Dortmund 0 - 1 Augsburg
Dortmund 1 - 1 Lille

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups